Monday, September 3, 2012

Odd Politics

I am rather fond of Real Clear Politics. So, when I wanted to see what the political numbers were for the House election, I went to them. The rankings look like this:

                       Democrats        Republicans
Not Up           145                    178
Likely             21                      28
Leans              17                      23

Toss Up                      23

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html

OK, a little more conservative leaning than I thought it would be, but there are still 23 toss up states. How does the map look without tossups?

Democrat                  Republican
261                            174

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map_no_toss_ups.html

Wow, the democrats pick up all of the tossups, all of the seats leaning republican, all of the seats the republicans are likely to get, and four seats that aren't even up for election! Looks like it's going to be a big win for the democrats!

Oh, wait, no. "RCP House map (Coming Soon)"

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