I am rather fond of Real Clear Politics. So, when I wanted to see what the political numbers were for the House election, I went to them. The rankings look like this:
Democrats Republicans
Not Up 145 178
Likely 21 28
Leans 17 23
Toss Up 23
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
OK, a little more conservative leaning than I thought it would be, but there are still 23 toss up states. How does the map look without tossups?
Democrat Republican
261 174
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map_no_toss_ups.html
Wow, the democrats pick up all of the tossups, all of the seats leaning republican, all of the seats the republicans are likely to get, and four seats that aren't even up for election! Looks like it's going to be a big win for the democrats!
Oh, wait, no. "RCP House map (Coming Soon)"
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